The death of former President Muhammadu Buhari has triggered national mourning and renewed political manoeuvres ahead of the 2027 elections. While tributes pour in, accusations of political exploitation have surfaced, reflecting Buhari’s ties to President Bola Tinubu and the struggle to claim his support base.
According to The Punch, the ruling APC has already endorsed Tinubu for a second term, banking on incumbency and its control of 23 governors, 70 senators, and 220 House members.
The opposition remains divided. The ADC is pushing to unite discontented members of the PDP, Labour Party, and NNPP, while the PDP itself is weakened by internal crises.
Among possible challengers, Atiku Abubakar stands out. The Adamawa politician, who has contested six times since 1993, polled nearly seven million votes and won 12 states in 2023. His strong northern base, finances, and national profile remain key strengths.
But he faces hurdles: voter fatigue, age, he will be 81 in 2027, and criticism of refusing to step aside. Analysts say his chances depend on picking a youthful southern running mate and forging alliances with Obi or Kwankwaso. Without that, the opposition risks splitting and giving Tinubu an easy win.
Former President Goodluck Jonathan is also being courted as a consensus southern candidate. Both PDP and ADC are said to be working to put him on the ballot.
Analysts see him as a strong option because he would serve only one term, likely attracting northern backing. Supporters add that his statesmanlike image, global reputation, and ability to ease southern divisions make him a credible challenger to Tinubu.
A chieftain of the ADC, and Jonathan’s supporter, who spoke on the condition of anonymity said, “He’s the best of all the opposition leaders today.
“He’s experienced and has demonstrated commitment to the unity and peace of the country by conceding defeat to Buhari in 2015.
“Of other aspirants, Jonathan has only a term to serve.
“That’s a sure bargain for the North.
“If he agrees to contest, we can persuade Atiku to nominate a vice presidential candidate. With that, victory is sure for the ADC.”
Jonathan’s possible comeback, however, faces uncertainty due to constitutional questions about his eligibility. Since he completed Umaru Yar’Adua’s tenure before winning in 2011, legal experts are split on whether he can legally run for president again.
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